I mentioned the other day that there’s a fun (and in fact, thought provoking) article I’d like to share and you can see from the subject na ka.
The article entitled, “Top 10 Disappearing Futures” by members of friends of the World Future Society, and published in, “The Futurist”, Sept-Oct 2013 ka.
Kindly note that they are all under the US context and perspectives, which could even be argued among the Americans, let alone us in Thailand (with daily conflicts here and there!)
The top 10 are:
1. Intolerance and misunderstanding (John M. Smart) through the use of global languages, especially English….as long as global science, technology, free trade, resiliency, and wealth continue to accelerate
In the same topic, Daniel Egger projected that in 2030, cultural contexts could be ignored due to social connectivity through advanced technology, reducing needs to learn other languages but the global one(s)
2. Educational process (Jason Siko) with disappearing public education (, using technology and valuing competencies of skills the workforce demands, site-based technical and pedagogical support, disappearing the factory model of education (one size fits all), and end of grade point averages to focus more on endorsements of specific skills
3. Europe …maybe or maybe not (Manuel Au-Yong Oliveira)in existence as it needs long-term culture change along with structural and institutional change to hold the grouping together
4. Jobs and workplace processes (Thomas Frey) with 2 billion jobs (50% of all the jobs on earth) to disappear by 2030
It’s interesting to also share with you 12 technologies which could be job destroyers and job creators (the author refers to McKinsey”s Global Institute ka)… the 12 disruptive technologies are: mobile internet, automation of knowledge and work, internet of things, cloud technology, advanced robotics, autonomous and near-autonomous vehicles, next-generation genomics, energy storage, 3-D printing, advanced materials, advanced oil and gas exploration and recovery, and renewable energy.
Jobs affected examples: teachers to change to ‘coaches’; driverless cars to rid driver positions, traffic cops, etc.
Paul Rux said even teamwork could die down as there may be much less need since workers can come and go.
5. Stores (Barry Minkin) with innovative marketing channels to sell products in different parts of the world….John P. Sagi highlighted the role of robots at ‘Demo Docks’, not stores
6. Doctors, Surgeons, and “Diagnostic Arts” (Joe Thomae) disappearing with diagnosis becoming personalized to be done at home, and the role of advanced technologies to perform surgery (Benjamin C. Yablon), and diagnosis (using science over art) as pointed out by Morton Chalfy
7. Paper-and the places it goes (David Pearce Snyder) requiring people to have new set of skills working on paperless basis….others will be gone even paper money. Karl Albrecht mentioned the disappearance of postal services, personal checks, newspaper, magazines, greeting cards. Interestingly, he believes physical books “may not go extinct completely, because it offers certain subjective experiences not replicated exactly by electronic media.”
8. Human experiences (Brenda Cooper) that are harder to be anonymous since life will be like an open electronic books and that one will be super-rich to be out of this very circle
9. Smartphones (Paul Saffo) to be replaced by AI-based voice recognition
10. Insecurity from car crashes (Tom Schaffnit) with the extensive use of connected and automated vehicle technology
I enjoyed reading this article a lot and after feeling so, feeling insecure how the future world could be. The projections are based on technologies and don’t really see the philosophy of life, how human beings should be connected as human beings who have to nurture good hearts of caring and sharing.
If the world in 2030 were to be filled with ‘advanced technologies’ for us to work more effectively and live more comfortably in such mechanical ways, the one huge hole is people’s hearts and the world is a better place for robots saa laew!
Regards,
Porntip
Thu 8/29/2013 7:28 AM
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